Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 7.931614 8.745108 9.630548 10.670023 11.862181 13.192960 14.799592
2026-01-25 6.702543 7.750099 8.965225 10.492871 12.381993 14.668096 17.685219
2026-02-01 5.965249 7.119998 8.518359 10.362079 12.768362 15.859315 20.227050
2026-02-08 5.406944 6.613546 8.124502 10.193499 13.014695 16.823202 22.529611
2026-02-15 4.949017 6.175309 7.753758 9.984494 13.141541 17.591099 24.614809
2026-02-22 4.627347 5.878218 7.528860 9.930143 13.448451 18.614248 27.192457
2026-03-01 4.259261 5.486636 7.138172 9.596582 13.300482 18.923838 28.665734
2026-03-08 3.894697 5.073066 6.683602 9.125891 12.890326 18.766189 29.315432
2026-03-15 3.666035 4.831943 6.452220 8.958891 12.919605 19.293642 31.204700
2026-03-22 3.724259 4.996150 6.808571 9.699111 14.444570 22.456744 38.423996
2026-03-29 3.631709 4.935182 6.827096 9.913393 15.128604 24.264397 43.418235
2026-04-05 3.436154 4.710940 6.584841 9.690204 15.045226 24.675644 45.625127
2026-04-12 3.354002 4.656226 6.605273 9.908780 15.775482 26.741331 51.952738
2026-04-19 3.189518 4.468068 6.406854 9.747595 15.810883 27.477416 55.462846
2026-04-26 3.048637 4.308078 6.242190 9.628868 15.908510 28.345327 59.492777
2026-05-03 2.911940 4.147299 6.066216 9.475758 15.923187 29.039396 63.256099
2026-05-10 2.778222 3.984582 5.877674 9.285827 15.846400 29.524956 66.592760
2026-05-17 2.681935 3.876455 5.772411 9.236417 16.040152 30.630353 71.961222
2026-05-24 2.543917 3.695428 5.536622 8.933002 15.692542 30.460425 73.561847
2026-05-31 2.391124 3.484875 5.242176 8.504322 15.053598 29.540524 72.679499
2026-06-07 2.297934 3.367687 5.100550 8.352075 14.978201 29.951509 76.128320
2026-06-14 2.354658 3.497716 5.386715 9.026297 16.724335 35.086851 97.124910
2026-06-21 2.326071 3.484487 5.423021 9.221188 17.448725 37.781292 110.849264